You know how some people sound certain, they know, just know, what is going to happen.
Then there are captains of industry, Hollywood stars, politicians (especially), economists and your Aunt Martha stating about the future with utter conviction.
And while it may seem, looking back, that these people and others know and knew exactly what they were doing, don’t believe it.
Because, they don’t have a clue, anymore than you do.
Everyone is guessing
Everyone, but everyone, is guessing what will happen to themselves, their communities and the world – be it tomorrow, in a week’s time, a year…let alone 20 years into the future.
We certainly can best guess the future, but everyone’s making it up.
Every individual is dealt their own set of cards, and every individual is playing those cards as best they can.
We’re all blessed or cursed with different backgrounds influenced by where we grow up, our looks, physique, brains, opportunities, appetite for risk and (often unmentioned because no one wants to acknowledge it), luck.
Most of us do our best given our own particular circumstances.
When somebody else rants that this or that is going to happen, and that you should do this and that because of it – remember, they’re guessing.
Otherwise check out writer William Goldman, who wrote the books and movie scripts for (among others) ‘The Princess Bride’, ‘Marathon Man’ and ‘Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid’ – all of them wonderful.
William Goldman also wrote ‘Adventures in the Screen Trade’, a memoir and fantastic guide ‘How to write a movie script’.
He was particularly talking about movie making in this final quote. But the central truth is, his statement applies to everyone’s life and any future expectation.
It is worth quoting in full.
“Nobody knows anything…..Not one person in the entire motion picture field knows for a certainty what’s going to work. Every time out it’s a guess and, if you’re lucky, an educated one.”